Argentina foibles (inflation, currency and potential anarcho-capitalist experiments)

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Senator Rubio advocating support for Milei:
 
I thought it was interesting that he said he may convert to Judaism. I wonder if that is part of the deal. Will he have to give up his license as a teacher of tantric sex?
 

Argentina can appeal in hedge funds' lawsuit over GDP-linked securities​

January 31, 20245:51 AM EST Updated 39 min ago

LONDON, Jan 31 (Reuters) - Argentina has been given permission to appeal after losing a London lawsuit brought by four hedge funds over euro-denominated securities which left the country facing a roughly $1.5 billion bill, Argentina's lawyers said on Wednesday.

The funds, holding around 48% of the securities linked to Argentina's gross domestic product in 2013, won at trial and a judge ruled Argentina should pay 1.33 billion euros ($1.44 billion) plus interest in relation to all the GDP-linked securities.

But Argentina was given permission to challenge that ruling earlier this month, the country's lawyers said in court filings at a preliminary hearing at the Court of Appeal in London.

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IMF Executive Board Completes the Seventh Review of the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility for Argentina​

January 31, 2024

  • The Executive Board’s decision enables an immediate disbursement of around US$4.7 billion (or SDR3.5 billion) to support the new authorities’ strong policy efforts to restore macroeconomic stability and bring the program back on track.
  • An ambitious stabilization plan is being implemented to correct severe policy slippages in the final quarters of 2023. The plan is centered on the establishment of a strong fiscal anchor along with policies to durably bring down inflation, rebuild reserves, and tackle distortions and long-standing impediments to growth.
  • The path to stabilization will be challenging, requiring steadfast policy implementation and agile policymaking. Clear communication and well-targeted social assistance will be critical to build social and political support for the program.
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Sounds like the US (which largely dictates IMF policy) is embracing Milei and pulling Argentina back from the BRICS+.
 


I'm actually surprised at how much of the the original proposal got passed. I expected more of a fight from the opposition.
 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/com...inflation-data-focused-on-reforms/ar-BB1iizyR

OK, so the opposition did eventually end up killing the reform bill and Milei has signalled that he won't accept half measures. It's going to be a painful process to achieve significant reform.
 

Argentina’s Milei Should Dollarize after Legislative Setback​

Initial Victories

Javier Milei’s first two months in office supplied a steady stream of good news to libertarians worldwide. There was the presidential decree that deregulates large swathes of the economy, the brilliant speech at Davos—endorsed by the likes of Tesla’s Elon Musk and historian Niall Ferguson— and the government’s introduction of its “omnibus” law, a bill designed, among other things, to privatize dozens of state‐owned companies.

The only initial setback for Milei’s government was a January 30 court ruling that declared the presidential decree’s labor reform unconstitutional. Nonetheless, the government took this in stride while it adapted certain parts of the omnibus bill so as to ensure its approval in Congress. The entire content on fiscal matters, for instance, was removed, a measure some libertarians celebrated since the law had originally included tax hikes.

A buoyant mood turned outright cheerful on February 2, when the Lower House of Congress approved the omnibus bill in general terms by a 144 to 109 margin. Milei seemed to be sailing smoothly toward a full recovery of Argentina’s lost “model of freedom,” as he termed the country’s successful, nineteenth century experiment with free trade and free markets.

A Rude Awakening

Nonetheless, the narrative changed abruptly on February 5, when the Lower House voted on the omnibus bill article by article and a majority rejected its key elements, among them the privatization scheme and increased penalties for the use of violence in protests. In effect, Milei’s honeymoon period came to an abrupt end with the onset of political reality.

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Argentina markets double down on Milei as investors 'start to believe'​

BUENOS AIRES, Feb 23 (Reuters) - Whisper it quietly, but Argentina's embattled markets are showing signs of doubling down on the country's no holds barred libertarian leader Javier Milei, betting he can pull the economy out of crisis.

Amid a painful economic downturn and with the government strapped for cash, Milei has made tough austerity a key focus since taking office in December, helping the country post its first monthly fiscal surplus for over a decade in January, music to the ears of investors after years of over-spending.

That hasn't helped him make many friends with squeezed regional governors or unions - leading to a spike in protests - but has charmed investors, pushing some bonds to four-year highs and cutting Argentina's risk index to a low since 2022.

"It seems the market is starting to believe," said financial analyst Mariano Sardans at FDI Argentina, adding if it could be maintained it would strengthen the embattled peso, allowing tough currency controls limiting dollar access to be unwound.

 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/com...ing-cenbank-financing-of-treasury/ar-BB1iJVpP


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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...y-work-to-stabilise-their-economy/ar-BB1iN5a3
 
News from Argentina is mostly positive so far:


https://www.msn.com/en-gb/news/worl...lei-austerity-tempers-food-prices/ar-BB1jyRFq


https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/com...00-as-milei-measures-spur-markets/ar-BB1jriJ6




 

 
I am sure the USA would be willing to send a bunch of dollars over in exchange for something political.
 
Don't let the title of the vid fool you. Ferfal takes a quick look at things and it's not a bed of roses.

President Javier Milei already "SAVED" Argentina

Mar 18, 2024

8:16

_____________________________________

Argentina’s Assets Tempt Its Creditors. Seizing Them Is Easier Said Than Done.​


About the author: Gregory Makoff is a senior fellow at the Mossavar-Rahmani Center for Business and Government at the Harvard Kennedy School and author of Default: The Landmark Court Battle over Argentina’s $100 Billion Debt Restructuring, published by Georgetown University Press this year. This is an adapted excerpt from that book.

For many, Argentina is synonymous with default, crisis, and litigation. Lately, it has been living up to this reputation: The country has lost all its foreign reserves, its debts have piled up, inflation is running at more than 140%, and Argentina is also back in court. Last year a U.S. district court judge hit the country with a $16 billion judgment related to the 2012 re-nationalization of state oil company YPF. A U.K. court also awarded a $1.5 billion judgment to a group of hedge fund plaintiffs who claimed damages relating to growth-linked securities Argentina issued back in 2005. Argentina now faces a growing risk that these plaintiffs will go to courts around the world to try to attach its airplanes, ships, and bank accounts, just as its creditors tried to do in the wake of its 2001 default on almost $100 billion in bonds.

How these two new lawsuits play out will depend on the tactics the country’s new president, Javier Milei, chooses to adopt. One positive indicator is that Milei has put Minister of Economy Luis Caputo and Central Bank Governor Santiago Bausili at the helm of his economic team. This dynamic duo is known for swiftly resolving the country’s holdout creditor litigation in 2016. Another point in Argentina’s favor is that both recent court judgments against it could be reversed on appeal. In the negative column, Argentina recently failed to post collateral to cover a portion of the amount it will owe if it loses its appeal in the YPF case, leading the judge in charge of the case to rule to allow the plaintiffs to start trying to seize Argentina’s assets.

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Money Still Matters: The Case of Argentina​


Today the world is on a pure fiat money standard. Unlike the classical gold standard, there is no mechanism for maintaining long‐run price stability. Once the inflation genie is out of the bottle, the central bank may be able to tame inflation, but returning to the pre‐inflation price level is not a viable option. Therefore, it is essential that the monetary powers of central banks be strictly limited and that there be a clear separation of monetary and fiscal policy so that the central bank is unable to monetize government debt.

The challenge is to enforce a monetary rule that anchors the long‐run price level and avoids excess or deficient monetary growth. That is a difficult task because politicians are typically myopic. They tend to think in terms of policies that have immediate results rather than what needs to be done to achieve long‐run prosperity. Argentina is a prominent case: it was once one of the wealthiest nations in the world and now is plagued by hyperinflation and a 57.4 percent poverty rate.

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Milei To Slash 70,000 Government Jobs To Reform Argentina's Economy​

Argentine President Javier Milei announced his plans to slash 70,000 government jobs in an effort to shrink government expenditure and reduce the national deficit to zero. The cuts are part of his broader strategy to achieve fiscal balance at any cost.

Milei announced the cuts during his closing speech at the International Economic Forum of the Americas in Buenos Aires this week.

Over 50,000 of Argentina's approximately 3.5 million public sector employees have already been dismissed, but more cuts were on the way. According to a statement by the presidential office, the remaining 70,000 new job terminations will proceed in stages, with at least 20 percent (14,000 jobs) expected to be cut by the end of March. The rest of the timeline will be announced in April.

The move has sparked significant backlash, particularly from Argentina's powerful unions. The Association of State Workers (ATE), one of the unions representing public employees, claimed that at least 10,000 state workers have already been let go as of Thursday. ATE leader Rodolfo Aguiar called the layoffs "illegal" and "unjustified" and called for a national strike on April 3.

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https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/worl...-markets-with-reform-bill-backing/ar-AA1nWhEk

Milei is making some progress on shoring up support for his policies, but the Senate might still deny him. Governing with a minority is tough work.
 

Inflation-hit Argentina has a new top banknote, worth just $10​

BUENOS AIRES, May 7 (Reuters) - Argentina has a new largest banknote, the 10,000 peso, which is five times the size of the previous top bill though still only worth around $10 as the South American country grapples with the world's highest inflation rate that is nearing 300%.

The embattled country's central bank launched the new banknote on Tuesday, which it hopes will ease issues including people carrying unwieldy wads of cash, the demand for huge numbers of bills and banks running out of vault space.

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You can live like a king in Buenos Aires for $2500/month. They need to let the $USD circulate and supplement M1 with silver coins. They also need to shrink the size of government and privatize.
 

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/com...test-review-of-44-billion-program/ar-BB1mjbUi

IMF funding is likely to continue uninterrupted which means Milei doesn't have to turn to China like his predecessors were doing.
 
They kicked the can so much they adapted to a high inflation economy. There was no real growth and only a few benefitted.

IF given the chance Argentina could become the jewel of SA. It might take 6-7 years and a slashing of government spending which is usually the source of inflation.

The USA is headed down a similar path with big government as the solution for everything instead of the cause. The big government idiots theorize that if politicians controlled everything, then they could control money and prices. What hapoens when there are shotages in matetials and labor when citizens realize that cannot do anything to improve their standing?
 
Just imagine what might have been had he had sufficient support in the legislature to enact the budget and changes that he wanted.
 
Nothing to see, can listen in one tab, play around the forum in a different tab. Take it fwiw and dyodd.

Argentina Libertarian Boom Taking Off with Doug Casey​

May 24, 2024

Kerry Lutz and Doug Casey discussed a range of topics, including the revolution in Argentina, the real estate market in Argentina and Uruguay, the US political environment, the surging prices of gold and silver, and investment opportunities. They explored the election of an anarcho-capitalist president in Argentina and the country's global significance, as well as the potential impact of a ruling cabal. Doug Casey shared his personal experience of purchasing a large penthouse in Buenos Aires at a fraction of the cost compared to a similar property in New York, and suggested Uruguay as an attractive option for individuals seeking waterfront properties at a more affordable price compared to the US market.

The discussion also delved into the US political environment, with Kerry and Doug exploring Trump's potential approach to the presidency, the deep divide between Republicans and Democrats, and the potential for election manipulation. They expressed concerns about the impact of this polarization and predicted the Democrats' victory in the upcoming election. Additionally, they discussed the surging prices of gold and silver, with Doug expressing his strong belief in the continued upward trajectory of gold prices, citing the current global economic situation and substantial money creation as key factors. Finally, they highlighted the potential for growth in energy and mining stocks, particularly given their small market caps and historical underrepresentation in the market.

27:10
 

Javier Milei’s Radical Plan to Transform Argentina​

MAY 23, 2024 8:00 AM EDT

President Javier Milei hates his new office. The Casa Rosada, with its historic blue chair and ornate paneled walls, feels tainted by his predecessors, who he believes drove Argentina into ruin. But there is one detail Milei loves. Engraved into a fireplace mantle is a bronze lion, the animal he adopted as a symbol during his dizzying rise to power. Showing me around the vast second-floor space, Milei gestures to a blown-up photo of the lion, propped on his desk as a totem of his destiny. “He was waiting for me here,” he says.

Milei may be the world’s most eccentric head of state. Not long ago, he was a libertarian economist and TV pundit known as El Loco—the madman—for his profane outbursts. The oddities of his campaign often overshadowed the stark austerity program he promoted to pull the country out of its economic crisis. Milei, who has bragged about being a tantric sex guru, brandished a chainsaw at rallies to symbolize his plans to slash government spending, dressed up as a superhero who sang about fiscal policy, and told voters that his five cloned English mastiffs, which he reportedly consults in telepathic conversations, are his “best strategists.” He pledged to eliminate the nation’s central bank, derided climate change as a socialist conspiracy, and assailed Pope Francis, the first Argentine Pontiff, as a “leftist son of a bitch.” Last November, he won in a landslide.

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Podcast here, nothing to see. Can listen in one tab, play around the forum in a different tab.

Economic miracle in Argentina - Lobo Tiggre #6072

May 29, 2024

Kerry Lutz and Lobo Tiggre discussed the economic developments in Argentina and Mexico. They highlighted the positive changes in Argentina due to the current administration's measures to reduce government spending and regulations, resulting in a decrease in inflation and potential investment opportunities. However, they expressed concerns about the economic trajectory of Mexico, particularly in light of potential restrictions on mining activities and associated investment risks.

The conversation also touched on the impact of inflation on consumer behavior, particularly among the younger demographic, and the potential for a significant shift in economic and voting behavior. Lobo Tiggre also discussed the factors contributing to the potential increase in gold and silver prices, including economic scenarios, central bank buying, and geopolitical tensions.

20:51
 

Argentina’s ‘anarcho capitalist’ Milei meets with Sam Altman, Tim Cook and Sundar Pichai in a bid to spur investment​

MAY 30 2024 8:55 AM EDT

  • On his seventh overseas trip since taking office late last year, Argentina’s Milei traveled to San Francisco late Monday and has since met with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Google’s Sundar Pichai and Apple CEO Tim Cook.
  • The right-wing leader, and self-described “anarcho capitalist,” is scheduled to meet with Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg before departing from the U.S. on Friday.
  • Analysts say Milei’s charm offensive is likely designed to position Argentina as an attractive place to invest, owing to the South American country’s growing tech sector and ecosystem as well as promises of pro-business reforms.
Argentina President Javier Milei met with leaders of some of the world’s largest tech companies this week, embarking on a Silicon Valley tour that analysts say is likely designed to boost his international profile and showcase the South American country.

On his seventh overseas trip since taking office late last year, Argentina’s Milei traveled to San Francisco late Monday and has since met with OpenAI CEO Sam Altman, Google’s Sundar Pichai and Apple CEO Tim Cook.

The right-wing leader, and self-described “anarcho capitalist,” is scheduled to meet with Meta CEO Mark Zuckerberg before departing from the U.S. on Friday. On a separate trip to the U.S. last month, Milei met with tech billionaire Elon Musk at a Tesla electric car factory in Austin, Texas.

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I still would not keep more of their currency than I needed for 2 weeks of supplies.
 
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