Crypto trading/market thread

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This report has more details on the Binance deal:
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I must say that I am a little bit confused on how the US had jurisdiction to pursue Binance as - AFAIK - they didn't operate in the USA.
 
Some ripple effects from the Binance deal:
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This explains why liquidity dropped on Binance:
 
Well I haven't watched much of this yet but he seems super bullish on Bitcoin and crypto... Maybe I need to add a crypto equity like MSTR or MARA

 
Well I haven't watched much of this yet but he seems super bullish on Bitcoin and crypto...

I haven't watched it yet either, but I've been posting the significant events on the horizon regarding Bitcoin in this thread and 2024 is set to be Uber bullish for BTC (and that implies bullish coattails for the rest of the crypto market).
 

Crypto scam: Inside the billion-dollar ‘pig-butchering’ industry​

Filed Nov. 23, 2023, 11:45 a.m. GMT

At a Thai police headquarters in October 2022, Chinese businessman Wang Yicheng congratulated one of Bangkok’s most senior cybercrime investigators on his recent promotion, presenting the official with a large bouquet of flowers wrapped in red paper and a bow.

Wang, the vice president of a local Chinese trade group, wished the new cybercrime investigator “smooth work and new achievements,” according to the group’s website, which displays photographs of the event.

Over the past two years, Wang has forged relationships with members of Thailand’s law-enforcement and political elite, the trade group’s online posts show. During that time, a cryptocurrency account registered in Wang’s name was receiving millions of dollars linked to a type of cryptocurrency investment scam known as pig butchering, a Reuters investigation has found.

In total, crypto worth more than $90 million flowed into the account between January 2021 and November 2022, according to registration documents and transaction logs reviewed by Reuters. Of that, at least $9.1 million came from a crypto wallet that U.S. blockchain analysis firm TRM Labs said was linked to pig-butchering scams. Two other major crypto-tracking firms also said the account received funds linked to such scams.

Read the rest here:

 
Ran across this video this morning that was published back in January this year (I started at ~6:10 mark for discussion of his "Realized Price Chart" and Bitcoin predictions for 2023-2025):

 
Okay...after being negative on crypto-fiat for 20 years, I'm considering taking the plunge. Be happy to talk about why, on another thread.

What I want, is the mechanics of it. First, I don't have any online payment mechanisms - I cut connections with PayPal after they started penalizing users, or threatening, for impure online posts/thoughts. Already I had issues getting paid for some firearms-related equipment (perfectly legal). So, PayPal is bye-bye.

No Apple Pay, Google Pay, and no smartphone. Does this disqualify me?

Second...how do I GET and HOLD this code. I don't want it in an exchange - waiting for it to be used without authorization, to cover short moves, or to disappear when the exchange closes or is seized by the Fudds. I want my crypto on a flash drive I hold.

Is that possible?

How do I DO this? Need I identify myself? If so, how? Crypto-name, or customer-number...if I have my crypto under the name Richard Cranium, can I buy and sell that way?

Or, to make response easy...is there a site online that offers CORRECT information on this?
 
...
How do I DO this? ...

I tried to answer your questions here:

 


Crypto sentiment appears to be strengthening.
 


Now where have I heard of this dynamic before? I know there was some market - a commodity I think - where physical supply/demand was supposed to overwhelm futures/paper markets... It's right there on the tip of my tongue...
 
The surging price of bitcoin has pushed the asset’s largest public holder, business software company MicroStrategy (MSTR), to unrealized gains of over $1.1 billion, 25% more than their cumulative investment.
...

Michael Saylor is like the character Morpheus from The Matrix. He believes 100% with every fiber of his being that Bitcoin is "the one" and nothing is going to dissuade him. He puts his money where his mouth is at ...


 
A bit more detail on the comment in the article referenced in post #413 about "the available supply of BTC on exchanges continues to decline":

"taking direct custody" means people are moving Bitcoin from their exchange accounts to cold/hard storage like a Ledger or Trezor wallet. Folks who are wanting to sell their crypto generally leave it on exchange accounts so it's easier to sell. Moving to cold/hard storage indicates they don't plan to sell in the near future. Less selling supply and more buying demand mean prices likely go up.
 

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Not terribly surprising given cryptos rise over the year, but it is another measure of investor interest in the sector.
 


 
Some details on the Blackrock filing:


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$73M =

 
From the link:

Short traders betting against higher bitcoin (BTC) prices lost some $90 million on Tuesday alone, adding on to the $70 million in short liquidations on Monday.

Bitcoin’s ever-growing prices are leaving at least one group startled by the rapid bumps: Those placing highly leveraged short futures bets aimed at profiting from potential price reversal.

Short traders betting against higher bitcoin (BTC) prices lost some $90 million on Tuesday alone, adding to the $70 million in short liquidations on Monday, according to data source CoinGlass. These may have contributed to the asset’s strength since the start of this week – a move that has seen it jump to $44,000 from $39,000.

 
There are whales swimming in these waters. Placing bets against them is a good way to get crushed. Read the room. It's all about institutional interest in the pending spot ETFs right now. Maybe some insider gets advance insider info on a SEC decision to reject the applications and make a mint shorting the market at the right time, but outside of that scenario, going short right now is incredibly risky IMO.
 


  • Decentralization - This is a valid point to the extent that Joe Sixpack starts paying attention to what crypto actually is and what nations and central banks are trying to build with CBDCs. I still think that Joe Sixpack is largely sleeping on these issues. Maybe the BTC spot ETF and 2024 bull market wake some people up.
  • User experience - The tech here is still developing (see Solana SAGA phone for an example). Making it easier/more accessible for people will definitely help.
  • AI and blockchain - I think the hype over AI is overblown.
  • The evolution of play to earn - There is no free lunch. I don't see how this genre ever really breaks out.
  • Non-fungible tokens (NFTs) - I've never seen the value proposition for NFTs. Maybe an evolved use case changes my mind.
  • SNARK adoption - This was all Greek to me. I need to do more reading to understand what they are talking about.
 
Hopefully a portent of things to come.
 
Market cap for BTC/crypto will continue to grow as that sentiment expands and ETFs enable institutional investors opportunities for allocating some percent of their portfolios accordingly.
 
The "alt coins" (esp. Cardano (ADA), Solana (SOL), Polkadot (DOT), Cosmos (ATOM) and Avalanche (AVAX)) are having a good day.
 
Conio, a cryptocurrency wallet company partly owned by Poste Italiane and Banca Generali, has teamed up with Coinbase (COIN) to bring a wide range of digital assets to Italian banks and financial institutions, the companies said on Monday.
...

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Italy's central bank seems supportive of crypto. Conio is working to make crypto services available for their banking industry.
 

Cryptoverse: Bitcoin defies its doubters in 2023​

Dec 12 (Reuters) - If 2022 was the year that "broke bitcoin", 2023 has been the year of trauma recovery.

Bitcoin has bounced pluckily in the face of depressed crypto prices, low trading volumes and tough economic conditions. It even found a second wind in October following a summer slump.

"We've had a nice recovery, but we're just in the cusp of the new cycle," said Kevin Koh, co-founder and managing partner at investment firm Spartan Group.

Indeed, 2023 has been a surprisingly good year for bitcoin.

The king of cryptocurrencies has leapt 164% since Jan. 1 and is trading above $40,000. It has outpaced traditional assets, including gold which has risen 10% and the S&P 500 (.SPX) which has gained 20%.

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Cosmos (ATOM) is up over 20% in the last 24 hours. Traders seem to think it could run another 40% or more...


 
From yesterday afternoon:

Avalanche has had a good week.
 


 
From the link:

After a year of inactivity, a big Ethereum whale has reemerged, causing waves in the crypto market, according to Lookonchain. The whale, who had been silent for over a year, went on a massive selling frenzy, selling 18,865 ETH for a whopping 42 million DAI via four newly formed wallets. This activity amounts to a $2,229 average selling price per ETH.

 
DAI is a stablecoin that maintains a 1 to 1 peg to the dollar. 42m DAI = $42m

While a lot, it really did not move the market much.

Avalanche (AVAX) and Cosmos (ATOM) are having nice up 4% days while the rest of the crypto market is slightly red.
 
Bitcoin Hovers Over $41K as Memecoin, Ordinals Frenzy Clogs up Blockchains

Bitcoin (BTC) opened the trading week marginally higher, trading above $41,000. Ether (ETH) was also up slightly, trading above $2,100.
Data from Coinglass have been $103.5 million in liquidations of token-tracked futures in the past 12 hours, and $95 million of them have been longs, or bets on higher prices. Of the $103.5 million in total liquidations, $33 million in bitcoin positions were liquidated, with $29 million of those being long bitcoin positions


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Belgium to Push European Blockchain Network During EU Council Presidency, Digital Minister Says

Belgium will give Europe’s ambitious blockchain initiative a political push when it takes the EU Council presidency in January, the country’s digital minister said in an interview with CoinDesk.

Mathieu Michel has already shared his grand vision for an EU-wide digital infrastructure that – at the very least – could store records such as driving licenses and property titles on a common blockchain controlled by the bloc’s governments.

 

BlackRock updates spot bitcoin ETF proposal to allow cash redemptions​

Dec 19 (Reuters) - BlackRock (BLK.N) has updated its proposed filing for a spot bitcoin exchange-traded fund (ETF) to allow cash redemptions, in a move which could help it secure an approval from the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.

A spate of filings for spot bitcoin and ether ETFs, including from traditional finance heavyweights, have revived the crypto market this year after a series of meltdowns in 2022.

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US court approves order for Binance to pay $2.7 bln to CFTC​

WASHINGTON, Dec 18 (Reuters) - A U.S. court entered an order against crypto exchange Binance and its former CEO, Changpeng Zhao, approving billions of dollars in fines for money laundering following a case brought by the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the agency said on Monday.

Zhao will pay $150 million and Binance will pay $2.7 billion to the CFTC as a result, the agency said in a statement.

The U.S. District Court for the Northern District of Illinois approved the previously announced settlement and entered a consent order of permanent injunction, civil monetary penalty, and equitable relief against Zhao and Binance, the CFTC said in its statement. The settlement was reached in late November.

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