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good time to be a repo man
'loan accomodation programs' = black hole, like so many other welfare schemes
not my bold
Actually, I don't think so.
All these Liars Loans are gonna come due and default at about the same time. There's not gonna be the market to absorb all these repo'd used cars.
So, basically, it may come down to the bank simply not willing to spend the cost to repo the cars. They may put a block of some sort on the registration process - perhaps re-issuing the title as theirs; but they won't want to spend $XXX for Sam Spade to come out and hotwire the car, likely a POS after a few years of subprime maintenance.
Of course they're on the rise.Auto Repossessions Are on the Rise, As People Walk Away From Car Loans
The CFPB is Examining the Potential Credit Impact of High Vehicle Costs for Consumers. The average price consumers paid for new vehicles reached a record highmishtalk.com
Auto Repossessions Are on the Rise, As People Walk Away From Car Loans
big scandal was unearthed several months ago -- criminals printing paper (dealer) plates. it answered a long term question that i had -- why the majority of paper plate cars are driven by blacks in my area. esp the old piece of sh-t cars with paper plates - that was close to 100 percentI can see a future of license plate switching "theft". Junkyards can become gold mines.
It gets moar interesting, here.I can see a future of license plate switching "theft". Junkyards can become gold mines.
I think they will start to taper and go 50bp. Need to show the market they recognize the signs of a slowdown. Otherwise the market might freak out and over correct.ISM services report higher than expected, PMI manufacturing report indicating a contracted economy. Maybe another 3/4 raise?
Let's hope so!Maybe another 3/4 raise?
slv, you might be correct, it really doesn't matter, they have completely broken the cycle. Buyers are rapidly exiting their collective phycosis, while the sellers are mostly still higher than a kite on paper profits.. so just sit back and enjoy. Landlords are going to see occupants not paying and them not permitted to evict. 80 to 100% loan people, the PMI crowd, are stuck in their place for the duration, the low rates have them chained as taxes, and home insurance rates grow. While the rest of us have to watch it all unfold, happy happy joy joy.I think they stop here. The market is going to break before the next meeting. They don't make it to 5.25%. Which means inflation wins.
only in their imagination. unrealized losses are big and legit - no matter how deep they bury their heads in the sand. there are billions/trillions in losses across the country for real estate ownerswhile the sellers are mostly still higher than a kite on paper profits.
EO,only in their imagination. unrealized losses are big and legit - no matter how deep they bury their heads in the sand. there are billions/trillions in losses across the country for real estate owners
This is the start of the pivot, but how does it all shake out? Nobody knows. What is their end game?
I see it as the citizens being sold out by big government. How much can they betray us without causing revolt or a total collapse?
I am praying for the giant meteor.
That's what's been needing done for at least the past 50 years. Prolly more 80.So either they cut spending or raise taxes
There is no solution to this - NONE! - short of implosion.That's what's been needing done for at least the past 50 years. Prolly more 80.
Imho, the People, mostly through ignorance, have allowed the gov to get it to this point, and a future is coming where they will get Decades worth of monetary lessons in one fell swoop.
Ignorance is part of it, but the government hasn't exactly been either honest or transparent.That's what's been needing done for at least the past 50 years. Prolly more 80.
Imho, the People, mostly through ignorance, have allowed the gov to get it to this point, and a future is coming where they will get Decades worth of monetary lessons in one fell swoop.
Yet many people can still see wtf is going on, and are swift enough to understand where this road they got us on, leads to.Ignorance is part of it, but the government hasn't exactly been either honest or transparent.
Those sick people want to see wages suppressed while cost of living is increasing. They want us all just barely surviving hand to mouth. We are nothing more than NPCs in their game.U.S. inflation has not 'turned the corner yet', IMF's Gopinath warns -FT
Gita Gopinath, a deputy managing director of the Fund, urged the U.S. central bank to press ahead with rate rises this year. She said it was important for the Fed to "maintain restrictive monetary policy" until a "very definite, durable decline in inflation" was evident in wages and industries...finance.yahoo.com
So where is the economics and Market information thread?
Payroll growth decelerated in December but was still better than expected, a sign that the labor market remains strong even as the Federal Reserve tries to slow economic growth.
Nonfarm payrolls increased by 223,000 for the month, above the Dow Jones estimate for 200,000, while the unemployment rate fell to 3.5%, 0.2 percentage point below the expectation. The job growth marked a small decrease from the 256,000 gain in November, which was revised down 7,000 from the initial estimate.
Wage growth was less than expected in an indication that inflation pressures could be weakening. Average hourly earnings rose 0.3% for the month and increased 4.6% from a year ago. The respective estimates were for growth of 0.4% and 5%.
...
The relative strength in job growth comes despite repeated efforts by the Fed to slow the economy, the labor market in particular. The central bank raised its benchmark interest rate seven times in 2022 for a total of 4.25 percentage points, with more increases likely on the way.
Primarily, the Fed is looking to bridge a gap between demand and supply. As of November, there were about 1.7 job openings for every available worker, an imbalance that has held steady despite the Fed's rate hikes. The strong demand has pushed wages higher, though they mostly haven't kept up with inflation.
...
YEAR (AS OF JANUARY) | U-3 (OFFICIAL) | U-6 (REAL) | U-3 AS A PERCENT OF U-6 | COMMENTS |
---|---|---|---|---|
1994 | 6.6% | 11.7% | 56% | The first year BLS reported U-6 |
1995 | 5.6% | 10.1% | 55% | |
1996 | 5.6% | 9.8% | 57% | |
1997 | 5.3% | 9.4% | 56% | |
1998 | 4.6% | 8.4% | 55% | |
1999 | 4.3% | 7.6% | 57% | |
2000 | 4.0% | 7.0% | 57% | Stock market crashed in March |
2001 | 4.2% | 7.3% | 58% | |
2002 | 5.7% | 9.4% | 61% | U-3 closest to U-6 |
2003 | 5.8% | 9.9% | 59% | |
2004 | 5.7% | 9.8% | 58% | |
2005 | 5.3% | 9.2% | 58% | |
2006 | 4.7% | 8.4% | 56% | |
2007 | 4.6% | 8.3% | 55% | |
2008 | 5.0% | 9.1% | 55% | |
2009 | 7.8% | 14.1% | 55% | High of 10.2% in October |
2010 | 9.8% | 16.6% | 59% | |
2011 | 9.1% | 16.1% | 57% | |
2012 | 8.3% | 15.1% | 55% | |
2013 | 8.0% | 14.5% | 55% | |
2014 | 6.6% | 12.6% | 52% | |
2015 | 5.7% | 11.2% | 51% | |
2016 | 4.8% | 9.7% | 49% | Both return to pre-recession levels |
2017 | 4.7% | 9.2% | 51% | |
2018 | 4.0% | 8.0% | 50% | |
2019 | 4.0% | 8.0% | 50% | |
2020 | 3.5% | 6.9% | 51% | The COVID-19 pandemic started in March |
2021 | 6.3% | 11.1% | 57% | |
2022 | 3.6% | 6.7% | 54% |
Even Charlie Munger sees where it leads to.Yet many people can still see wtf is going on, and are swift enough to understand where this road they got us on, leads to.
...and if it were not for ignorance, much of it willful, all would be able to see it too.
WHat you say is true however how does one make a profit during the debasement is the plan they go by. Keynes, that great idol they go by, was once asked about the long term eventual collapse to which he replied something to the effect of "in the long run we are all dead." So we know the path we are on but when does it happen as opposed to will it happen is the question we need to seek. Who would have thought the can could be kicked down the road so many times since FDRs gold confiscation action?Even Charlie Munger sees where it leads to.
...and plays along with it to make a buck.
My question is, why even start going ddown that road knowing full well where it leads to? Ie: the road of constant monetary expansion and ultimately debasement, that ends in destruction?
So it's ok to just screw over the people at the end of the line? Ie: the ones who had the least say in the matter? Why not just run things in a manner that doesn't result in certain destruction?So we know the path we are on but when does it happen as opposed to will it happen is the question we need to seek.
...
Next up will be higher taxes so they can service the debt. ...
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