The Lunatic Fringe - Market and Trade Chat

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Everything I'm seeing right now looks like things are a GD powderkeg waiting for a match.

A.) The overall stonk market is Concentrating into fewer and fewer names such as Apple. the underlying liquidity in what should be big companies is horrible.

B.) Volatility (ie fear) is getting crushed almost everyday whether that is real or artificial (such as plunge protection team) or both I don't know

C.) US Debt CDS are exploding (apparently the only market that cares)

D.) Gold with the highest and stubborn volatility even though prices have not moved a bunch

E.) Dollar strengthening again with BRICS countries now openly challenging its dominance.

F.) Extreme short selling potentially coming to light with a NEW move to DRS shares, possibly destroying the system (I think this is the match to set this Fuc*&R off).
 
I'm starting to think this PM drop has mostly been due to the debt ceiling debate. I suspect money is flowing into USD as a safety play until an agreement is made regarding the US debt ceiling. Which puts pressure on gold/silver. If true, we should see a nice rally in PM's once this blows over.
 

 
This whole debt ceiling thing is just theater. Dent bearish? Might be time to buy with both hands.


 
This whole debt ceiling thing is just theater. ...

Under normal circumstances, I would agree. The expectation is for the swamp critters in Congress to yield and raise the ceiling. But the way the Speaker of the House drama played out, there could very well be a group of Reps in the House that would rather crash the plane into the ground than yield on getting budget concessions. It reminds me of the old story about why the asshole is the boss:

 

Credit Suisse Workers Gear Up To Sue Swiss Regulator Over $400 Million In Lost Bonuses, Report Says​

https://www.msn.com/en-us/money/com...ses-report-says/ar-AA1bvxd1?OCID=ansmsnnews11
Credit Suisse staff are gearing up to sue Switzerland’s financial regulator over hundreds of millions of dollars worth of bonuses that were canceled after the bank was hastily rescued by rival UBS earlier this year, the Financial Times reported on Monday, adding to the deal’s already sizable legal fallout as the two banks work to finalize the merger.
 
Maybe we are at an odd moment in the general stock market. My Weekend Trend Trader system that works off the Russell 2000 small caps had me purchase 19 positions at today's open bringing my total open positions up to 20.

For today, my brokerage account is up 4.11% which is a good move for 1 day. There is some broad based support at the moment.

[Didn't feel good to buy today.]

[We may be having a bit of a "special moment."]
 
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The Rate Of Change on GDX & GDXJ is around levels that we'd normally rally from. On Balance Volume hasn't turned overly negative, still sitting around levels that are more in correction territory. GDX looking a little like an island reversal might be in play, the gap down didn't generate that much volume or follow up price weakness... yet. Finishing this month over 35.5 would be positive on the monthly, ~36.5+ is ideal and would send a reasonable signal crossing one of those sloping lines you despise.
 
Started nibbling on some Nov '23 and Jan '24 call options. I'm thinking this is about as far down as we go. Many silver miners are showing wipeout conditions.
I think we have to wait until after the June Fed meeting before gold really breaks out above the 2080 high. But I'm thinking the low is in.
 
This is NOT investment advice... But anyone who thinks there is a plan running and trump is in charge.

Buy yourself some BBBYQ for like a quarter. I don't care if you throw $10 into it. But I believe there is a plan in place for a restructuring buyout. The deadline for bids is looking like June 1st. Not all brokers will even allow you to buy it but if you can and know how to trade stocks it's Well worth the shot IMO.

Enjoy the Show
 
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Lottery ticket purchased.
 
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