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After I bought my last house, I looked for insurance, but the local dealer gave me a "F U GO AWAY" price.Fortune
Uninsurable homes are selling for all cash at a deep discount
There’s an incredibly risky two-pronged trend in the housing market. Insurance companies are refusing to cover properties because they’re located in severe weather zones or because the housing stock is old.
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The delinquency rate of office mortgages backing commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) spiked to 9.4% in October, up a full percentage point from September, and the highest since the worst months of the meltdown that followed the Financial Crisis. The delinquency rate has doubled since June 2023 (4.5%), according to data by Trepp, which tracks and analyzes CMBS.
Office CRE fund managers have spread the rumor that office CRE has bottomed out, but the CMBS delinquency rate doesn’t agree with this bottomed-out scenario; it’s aggressively spiking.
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True enough...You don't own your house, the government does.
I've been waiting for this.
It's not for nothing that we used to call Florida, "God's Waiting Room" (late 1970s, when we all were dismissive of Florida as a place to live). There's really not much work there, apart from retail customer-service jobs, hospitality, and medical/elder care work.
So young people don't go there. Plus, of course, the landscape, the scenery, is boring. I mean, apart from Spring Break at the beach, it's boring.
It's the dying-off Boomers who're down there, and the dying-off Boomers are dying off a lot faster. That's thanks to the miracle of Pfizer and Moderna. Eventually, the shortened life-expectancies of those True-Believer, Circle-D voting, Face-Diaper-wearing Boomers, are gonna translate into a glut of housing.
It may also translate into a rapid political shift down there. Red Florida, Florida Man, may not be so red or so manly in the near future. We tend to forget, before DeSantis, there was Gubbernor Jebster Shrub - a beta in an alpha job, a true squish where a spine should be a job requirement.
I'm watching. When I can buy my cinder-block pillbox beach house on what I have saved, I'm down there. Probably not until.