Yep, that thought has crossed my mind as well. I don't know why he hasn't dropped paratroopers across Ukraine in key positions and shut it down.
If you follow André below on YT he points out that America doesn't understand how Russians think. They look at war in a different manner.
America looks at war as if it's Iraq or Libya... home for dinner at five.
Russia is methodical. Mathematical. Very precise.
1.5x
SitRep Aug 16 2024
31
I always keep in mind that Russia lost 22 million in WW2 to defeat Hitler. I would never underestimate Russias resolve when they get involved.
Keep in mind this would have been over long ago had the US and UK not shut down peace talks with Russia and Zelensky. The solution is simple. Abide by the Minsk agreement and this thing is finished. But as I said, no money in it for the MIC. The MIC also knows if Trump Is elected this cash cow is finished for them. Thats a whole lot of reasons for them to do anything to stop him.
Putin may be one of the smarter leaders in the world right now. He started this to prevent Ukraine from becoming part of NATO. that's Putins line in the sand.
I can only speculate on tactics. Seems to me that Russia has enormous firepower just sitting in storage. More than 10,000 tanks alone which is more than the US and Europe combined. They also have as many subs as the US more or less. They are outnumbered by US fighters but as we are seeing now, the US is committing it's fighters to the war effort. I suspect Russia will shoot them all down and the US will send more. 50 million per F-16 and an operational cost of 22,000 plus per hour versus a Russian missile that takes one out.
So it appears that Russia is just drawing out Nato firepower and then destroying it. In the long run this costs the west way more than it costs Russia.
Russia doesn't have much of a navy. Some destroyers and lots of subs. What they haven't done is waste time on aircraft carriers. I think they already realize that a few hypersonic missiles and the US carrier is finished if it comes to that.
So, I think. case can be made that Russia is holding back in a big way. If this thing really ramps up then Russia has the home field advantage. But then we have China that has been more or less silent as of late. However they have ben speaking with Russia and my guess is they have a plan. China also wants Russian land and resources. In addition I think they have a view that China should be ruling the world instead of the US. With 1.3 billion people and a bunch of men who have no hope of finding a wife in china that's to the one baby policy they had in place for awhile. they have a whole lot of men ready to be armed up for a war. The world doesn't have enough bullets to kill them all.
So, if things really ramp up in Ukraine I can see China finally getting involved. We already know they are buying gold and unloading US treasuries. Obviously they aren't going to buy treasuries so the US can spend on military to take on China. Anyway, so China sends a couple hundred thousand troops to Ukraine to support Russias efforts there and tying up nato in Europe. They then start their conquest in Asia. 1st Taiwan, then the Philippines. Although I think the Philippines are already leaning towards supporting China anyway. China invests in the country and the US just tells them what to do and how many bases we want there. For now China can just ask them not to allow the US in and in return China will continue to support them. Not sure how that will play out but it's one scenario.
Meanwhile the US is tied up in the ME. How many carrier groups over there now? I think I read somewhere that 4 are in the region now. I think we have a total of 10 and some are always in port for rearming and refueling and whatever. Some are also in the med. I'm sure google knows but my point is even with 10 carrier groups, they cant handle a multitude of wars across the world on multiple fronts. If China gets aggressive in the south China sea we are fairly limited in what we can send over there. Might have to just let it go for now.
Ok I looked it up. the world has 21 carrier groups. 11 are US. 2 China and 1 Russia but I have heard Russias isn't very good. The lack of carrier strength by the east would suggest they have another tactic for dealing with carriers.
This isn't WW2 weaponry we are dealing with here either. The missile technology alone changes the battlefield and for now I feel like everyone is just watching to see how the other side deals with things. I also don't think the US has the appetite for war that we once had. A draft would be mandatory. But, what's available to draft? A bunch of overweight gamers with purple hair? So assuming we have any kids willing to be drafted that don't run to either Canada or Mexico, we also have millions of illegals to take their place here in the US. They are also getting fast tracked right now for citizenship so they could also be drafted now.
Again all of this is speculation on my part. Trump getting elected puts an end to all of this. If he doesn't get elected I assume the worst and the MIC will be firmly in control of the US pocketbook. This is the start of WW3 and if kami gets elected then I assume it's on. I think we all know how this ends. The safest place to be when this all goes down will be southern South America.