The Lunatic Fringe - Market and Trade Chat

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Gold Daily - Nearest support looks like the 50/200DMA as before @ ~1950ish.



Backing up a little, to me, it looks like a big continuation pattern that has yet to breakout. Support is clear, volume is declining as we go, less willing sellers at these levels (for now)



Not that clean a chart, but using classic metrics it would have me targeting 2500 on the next major move... SHOULD this resolve upward.
 
Five years of GDX seasonality says that you want to be more on the buy side between here and early October.

 
JayDubya said:
I've been sitting on this pile of metal for (what seems like) forever.
When am I gonna be rich?
I'm getting old...
Something's gotta happen soon
Click to expand...

I hear that. Getting very bored with it all. Looking forward to a more positive phase.
 
JayDubya said:
I've been sitting on this pile of metal for (what seems like) forever.
When am I gonna be rich?
I'm getting old...
Something's gotta happen soon
Click to expand...
It's insurance.

Look out the window. Inflation is insane. What do you suppose will happen in a year of this?

Folks are just getting by. Look at how much debt is on credit cards. That's how they are surviving!

Too much month left at the end of the money.

Imagine taking a silver eagle you bought for $6 and cashing it in because you need dollars vs using your credit card.

You're still safe. Everyone else is at risk!
 
ASX Gold tribe soft today ~4% looks like opportunistic shorting off the 50 DMA's that many are around. Could be a short trade for them IMO.
 
Looks to me like gold is in a slightly downtrending channel but at the same time you could argue sideways consolidation or even a cup and handle forming.I like the cup and handle but that handle could stretch out for another 6-12 months and still be valid.
 
NVDA weekly chart. Looks like 2 topping candles although last weeks could be considered a dojo also I suppose.
 
MSFT got that big topping tail mid July. Then turned down. Now back up to that DMA (I have it set at 9). Should turn back down from here IMO.
 
To me the indexes look very similar except that most of them have just moved above that DMA line. Of course there is a chance that everything could turn around and just power higher. Something I would expect at the start of a bull market or in a very strong economy.
All of the Data seems negative. Higher unemployment rate (Lies from BLM for just about every reporting date and then the following month all revisions are downward, never upward). Credit at all time highs, mortgages dropping off a cliff(One of the key factors that actually drive an economy is the housing market).

Just my opinion but I am looking to get short. Short term anyway, just try and grab some small gains and stay as liquid as possible while this mess sorts itself out.
 
All of these charts are weeklies.
So here's ZSL. Slightly up trending and last week it pulled all the way back to the uptrend line and bounced putting in a bottoming tail. I did take a position in this last week and it is the only new position I have added. It's really just insurance against a falling silver price to protect what little I have in my silver miners.
If this runs back up to 21.30 or so it will be it's 3rd attempt at that level. A break above that and it may head up to the 24.80 level to fill the gap up there. Of course that would send silver down to about 20 and I don't really expect that unless there is a severe downturn in the markets that drag the metals down temporarily as well.
 
Meta. Since Dec of last year been riding above that DMA line. Then it broke below 3 weeks ago. Now back up to it and from there should go down. TSLA looks similar.
 
AAPL. Similar pattern but it has come back above the DMA line. This one I would wait on for confirmation in either direction when the traders come back to work tomorrow.
 
IBM. Long term is trading within a very wide range channel. Shorter term as in the last few months it is trading sharply up. However it is now getting close to the top of the wide ranging channel. Maybe it makes a run to the old high to form a double top before heading lower? My crystal ball doesn't say
 
As you can see I like the weekly charts because it gives a big picture view. All of these have had a nice run up since the beginning of the year. A pullback would be healthy or a sideways consolidation. GOOG and AMZN still look healthy but could head south if there is a severe downturn in the market.

Thats all I got. LOL. Traders will probably come back in tomorrow and destroy all my analysis.
 

Been hearing about the cup and handle since I had a full head of hair.
 
Insurance? Look around. Your house is on fire yet Silver still sits under $25 an ounce.
 
So they tell ya no one forced you to get the jab. That's like getting held up on the street the guy asks for your money or he'll shoot. You refuse. Bang your dead. Well he didn't actually force you did he? Except no job and you can't go out in many instances.
 

More:

Stocks and bonds are out of balance. Here's what could come next.

The earnings-to-price ratio on the S&P 500 is on the verge of being overtaken by the 10-year Treasury. How it may get resolved.
www.marketwatch.com

whynotboth.gif

Re: Article title:

 

Didn't the mafia used to sell business protection insurance?
 
All the bond charts are like this... IDK if it's a data feed issue or a market issue for now.

 
Update on yesterday's charts... sitting on or near levels we might start to see buying. Dip below tomorrow, hopefully that is bought into.

 

Gold Monthly in the strongest currency in the world...

 
DXY on the weekly has 8 green bars in a row. My chart settings go back 3 years and never seen that in 3 years. Dolla seems due for cooling off period.
 
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